
When it comes to the future of e-scooter sharing, there are some pretty conflicting opinions out there. Some say it's the future of micromobility, others are less optimistic.
Ultimately, the success of scooter operators all depends on their ability to find profitability.
Let's be honest – this industry has higher-than-average overhead costs. The hardware itself is a major investment, and profits are further seeped by the maintenance workforce, storage, relocation costs, and new regulatory requirements that are regularly introduced.
But profitability is possible.
We spoke to Heiko Hildebrandt, co-founder of Bullride, which helps mobility companies offload their assets from their balance sheet to keep them in the black.
The state of the scooter industry – hopeful
The economy is just starting to stabilize as we exit the Covid slump and enter the new normal. How did Covid affect the micromobility sphere?
A study published in Bloomberg found that monthly ridership fell drastically in 2021, but made a comeback in 2022 when people returned to office.

Source: Bloomberg
Now, that's using US-based brands as a model.
Heiko Hildebrandt shares that the scooter operators he's worked with have experienced a similar effect:
“Corona was the greatest fuel you could pour onto the micromobility fire. During Corona times, people hardly used public transport, and most people switched to scooters. We saw two of the biggest micromobility brands in Europe, Bolt and Tier, raise record-setting VC investment at the end of 2021 – totaling 1.4B EUR – a clear sign of traction. And since Covid has ended, we've seen a 30%-40% slump in demand. So was Covid bad for business? Not according to my perspective.”
However, according to Heiko, the real challenge is to make the unit economics work. Because the question is not about whether the product is in demand. The question is does it make sense from a business perspective.
The challenges the scooter industry faces
The scooter industry, while in demand, must face challenges that directly impact their unit economics. For some businesses, it pushes them over the edge and drives them into insolvency.
By knowing what those challenges are, scooter businesses can better set up their business models to protect their profitability.
Rising hardware costs
In order for a scooter's lifetime to be profitable, it has to be in use for at least 2 seasons – some even say, for 4 years. That means that the scooter has to be durable, easily maintained, with cost-efficient replacement parts.
“Scooters are usually imported from abroad (mostly China), and shipping costs are now 8x higher than they were two years ago. The costs of electronics components are ever increasing.”
Jürgen Sahtel, Manager of the ATOM Vehicle Marketplace, agrees that the prices have gone up over the past two years.
“For example, hardware prices for the new Segway models have increased more than 40% over the last 16 months. And this trend is across all manufacturers – new scooters could be obtained starting from 650EUR and up, while more advanced models readily available in EU are priced at around 1000EUR per unit.”
The hardware is one of the biggest up-front investments that a scooter operator faces. But it's also critical to balance cost with quality, as you need to be so resilient that it can withstand public use over the course of 2-4 years.
Expanding regulation
When the e-scooter sharing industry took off, the industry was so fresh that there wasn't any regulation in place to keep it in check. It was the wild west, and operators were able to take advantage of the regulatory grey area.
Now, municipalities are starting to crack down on the industry and putting laws into place. Regulation, overall, is a good thing. However, the way it's done now shows a lack of understanding about the unit economics and its regulation that is being enacted.
“Most municipalities are limiting the size of a fleet that one scooter competitor can have. Their goal is to reduce the amount of scooter clutter on the streets. But that number is often too low to ensure what we call “natural floating” – the process of humans moving the scooters around the city. This puts a larger strain on relocation and charging teams.”
Other burdens placed on scooter brands is the stricter demarcation of allowable parking zones. This is a factor that impacts relocation teams – those responsible for bringing scooters from less popular zones back to city centers and transport hubs. Additionally, mandatory tenders with the municipality are usually offered only for one year, making planning rather difficult.
A new trend that Heiko mentions seeing from a regulatory perspective is the emergence of mandatory insurance.
“Scooters used to be classified as bikes, and thus, similarly regulated. Now, they're being reclassified as motored vehicles, which have different regulatory requirements, including mandatory insurance.”
This further skews the unit economics of each ride.
On the other hand, regulation can also play an enabling factor. Heiko shares that if tenders could be extended for, say, 3 years, it could provide scooter brands with planning stability. If municipalities limited only 2 competitors in a city, this would ensure enough demand to make the unit economics work.
Finding profitability in unlikely places – Bullride's unique business model
Heiko believes that the future lies in the shared economy. He's among the 4 co-founders of Bullride, an investment platform that shoulders the burden of the hardware investment and splits the scooter rent with the operating brand.
How does it work?
- The Bullride platform crowdfunds the costs of the initial scooter investment. These people become your investors. Instead of giving away equity (ownership) of your company, they end up “owning” one of your scooters (1 scooter = 1,000 EUR).
- The order is made into one of the top scooter manufacturers that have the best longevity – Bullride does this for you.
- You split the rental income – 55% for you, 30% for investors, 15% for Bullride.
The idea works for a number of reasons.
- You'll need money. A bank is unlikely to fund a scooter venture (because of historically low profitability), and a VC will ask for equity. This way, you get the investment, while retaining full control.
- Bullride has very specific requirements. They know what works, and what doesn't. They only work together with entrepreneurs that meet their very strict requirements. That includes entering a city that has no more than 2 competitors, and a city that has no more than 100,000 inhabitants. 30,000 is the ideal sweetspot. You also only have one employee – and that's you.
The operating brand then may use a leading vehicle-sharing platform ATOM Mobility, to fast-track their time to market. ATOM takes profitability even further with its unique pricing model. Instead of the common model of cost-per-vehicle, ATOM uses a cost-per-ride model. That means that if you have less demand (and as a result, less income) in a certain month, then you pay less for use of the ATOM platform.
But scooter sharing is just the beginning. This same model, Heiko believes, can be applied to e-bikes, e-scooters, carsharing, even wind turbines and major investments like that. Why shouldn't a community be able to jointly invest in and co-own the infrastructure that they need to live?
This is a unique model that hasn't been commonly seen elsewhere. It's more than just scooters – Bullride believes that at the heart of it, what they're doing is democratizing asset ownership.
If you're looking to launch or scale your own vehicle-sharing business, contact the ATOM Mobility team to learn more abut this opportunity.

🚲 While dockless scooters and e-bikes often seems to be the popular choice, many of Europe's most popular shared mobility programs are station-based bike-sharing networks. Systems like Vélib' in Paris, Bicing in Barcelona, and BikeMi in Milan continue to grow by combining predictable parking, strong integration with public transport, and increasingly popular e-bike fleets. What these programs have in common, how they operate at scale, and why many cities continue investing in station-based bike sharing?
During 2019-2025, most of the attention in shared mobility went to dockless scooters. They were quick to deploy, highly visible, and seemed like the future of urban transport. But while many scooter operators expanded, consolidated, or exited markets, station-based bike-sharing systems quietly continued growing.
According to the 2025 European Shared Mobility Index, public bike-sharing schemes generated around 238 million trips in Europe, while private bike-sharing operators recorded another 124 million trips. Together, bike-sharing services accounted for more than 360 million annual rides out of more than 700 million rides (the other half was generated by free-floating scooters). While the industry spent years experimenting with different models, station-based bike sharing remained remarkably resilient. In many cities, it has become part of everyday transport infrastructure rather than simply another mobility service.

The bike-sharing market is becoming more structured
One of the clearest themes from the latest index is that the market is becoming more disciplined. Operators are no longer chasing every possible market. Instead, they are focusing on locations where shared mobility can operate sustainably over the long term. Cities are becoming more selective too, favouring systems that fit into wider transport networks rather than uncontrolled fleet expansion.
This shift has created favourable conditions for station-based bike-sharing systems. Unlike dockless fleets, station-based programs offer more predictable parking, easier fleet management, and stronger integration with public transport. These advantages become increasingly important as cities focus more on accessibility, compliance, and long-term mobility planning.
What do Europe's largest station-based systems have in common?
The strongest argument for station-based bike sharing is the performance of some of the world's largest programs.
Vélib' (Paris)
Paris' Vélib' remains one of the most successful bike-sharing systems in Europe. The network combines thousands of regular bicycles and e-bikes across an extensive station network that covers much of the city. Vélib' generated approximately 48.5 million trips in 2025, making it the highest-ridership public bike-sharing system in Europe.

What makes Vélib' particularly interesting is that, for many Parisians, it has become part of their daily commute alongside buses, metros, and trains. That level of adoption only happens when riders know they can reliably find and return bikes where they need them.
Bicing (Barcelona)
Barcelona's Bicing demonstrates how station-based systems can scale with city support and careful planning. The system combines regular bicycles and e-bikes and has become deeply integrated into the city's transport ecosystem. Bicing recently surpassed 100 million total rides, making it one of the most successful public bike-sharing programs globally. Barcelona is becoming a fascinating mobility case study: shared scooters were banned, private dockless bike-sharing is being phased out, while the city continues expanding the public Bicing network. A clear signal that some cities are prioritizing station-based and publicly managed micromobility over free-floating models.

The success of Bicing also reflects a broader trend in Spain, where public bike-sharing systems continue receiving strong institutional support.
BikeMi (Milan)
BikeMi in Milan offers a slightly different model. Rather than focusing on rapid expansion, the system grew steadily through dense station placement, strong commuter adoption, and integration with public transport. Now BikeMi combines traditional bicycles and e-bikes, providing a reliable transport option for both residents and visitors. Its success highlights an important lesson for operators: long-term utilisation often matters more than rapid fleet growth.

Although Vélib', Bicing, and BikeMi differ in scale and geography, they share several common characteristics. All three prioritise station density, integration with city transport networks, and predictable rider experiences.
Electric bikes are changing the economics
One of the biggest developments in station-based bike sharing over the past few years has been the rapid growth of electric fleets. Public bike-sharing fleets are now approximately 48% electrified. More importantly for operators, electric bikes consistently generate more trips than traditional bicycles. Public systems average around 2.7 trips per vehicle per day, while some electric bike fleets achieve up to 4.6 trips per vehicle per day.
Higher utilisation means more revenue per vehicle, a faster return on investment, lower idle fleet costs, and stronger demand throughout the day. Electric bikes also make bike sharing accessible to a broader audience. Longer distances become practical, hills become less of a barrier, and riders who would not normally choose a bicycle are often willing to use an e-bike instead. This is one reason many newer station-based systems are launching with mixed fleets or even fully electric fleets from day one.
Why cities are backing station-based systems again
Across Europe, municipalities are placing greater emphasis on organised mobility systems that can be integrated into existing transport networks. The European Shared Mobility Index highlights several examples, including public support programs for bike-sharing subscriptions in Spain, continued investment in Barcelona's Bicing network, and London's decision to renew its Santander Cycles contract through a long-term investment programme.
For cities, the appeal is relatively clear. Station-based systems provide predictable parking, reduce street clutter, simplify accessibility planning, and make it easier to integrate bike sharing with buses, trains, and metro systems. As regulations become stricter and public space becomes more valuable, these advantages are becoming increasingly important.
Managing a growing station network
As fleets grow, operators need visibility into station occupancy, vehicle availability, charging status, maintenance workflows, payments, rider activity, and customer support. Managing these processes manually quickly becomes difficult, especially when systems expand across multiple districts or cities.
Many operators use platforms such as ATOM Mobility's bike-sharing software to manage stations, vehicles, rider applications, payments, maintenance, and operational workflows through a single system rather than relying on multiple disconnected tools. The largest station-based programs did not become successful simply because they deployed more bikes. They built operational processes capable of supporting growth over many years.
The growth of systems like Vélib', Bicing, and BikeMi suggests that station-based bike sharing has found its place in modern cities long-term. The focus now is less on expansion alone and more on operating reliable, efficient networks that riders can depend on every da
Check out the full 2025 European Shared Mobility Index here: https://fluctuo.com/reports
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🛴 🚲 At ATOM Connect 2026 in Riga, operators, technology providers, and industry experts came together to discuss where the market is heading and what will define successful operators in the coming years. The discussions covered everything from fleet economics and regulation to AI, insurance, MaaS, and operator growth stories.
Shared mobility continues to evolve quickly. At ATOM Connect 2026 in Riga, operators, technology providers, and industry experts came together to discuss where the market is heading and what will define successful operators in the coming years. The discussions covered everything from fleet economics and regulation to AI, insurance, MaaS, and operator growth stories.
One thing became increasingly clear throughout the event: The industry is entering a different phase. Growth is still happening, but the rules for winning are changing.
🚲 E-bikes are becoming the core shared mobility asset
For years, shared e-scooters dominated headlines and rapid expansion stories. Now the conversation is gradually shifting.
Research presented by Frost & Sullivan suggests that e-bikes are increasingly becoming the preferred shared micromobility mode in many markets because of stronger unit economics, lighter regulatory friction, and changing rider behavior.
Some numbers presented:
- Average lifetime gross profit per shared scooter: ~$2,073
- Average lifetime gross profit per shared e-bike: ~$4,336
- Average scooter lifespan: ~3 years
- Average e-bike lifespan: ~4 years
Despite higher vehicle costs, e-bikes generate stronger long-term economics. We also saw examples from operators:
- Forest increased its e-bike fleet by 34%, while more cities increasingly support bike-focused mobility systems.
The interesting part is that e-bikes are gradually shifting from “fun transportation” toward everyday commuting infrastructure.
📈 Growth continues while fleet size remains relatively stable
One surprising trend discussed during the event was that the European shared micromobility market continues growing despite relatively stable fleet sizes.
Normally, growth comes from deploying more vehicles. Now something different appears to be happening:
- Better utilization
- Increased rider adoption
- Improved retention
- Subscription models
This is an important shift because it suggests the market is becoming more efficient. Instead of flooding cities with additional vehicles, operators are increasingly focused on generating more value from existing fleets.
💰 Subscriptions are becoming increasingly important
Historically, shared mobility relied heavily on per-ride revenue. That model is also changing.
Frost & Sullivan highlighted subscriptions as one of the strongest trends for 2026, with subscription-heavy models showing positive profitability dynamics. This aligns with what many operators shared during discussions. Subscriptions bring several advantages:
- Higher retention
- Predictable recurring revenue
- Lower customer acquisition pressure
- Better ride frequency
The industry may gradually move toward a model that looks more like SaaS and memberships rather than only pay-per-use transportation.
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🤖 AI is moving from experiments to core operations
AI was one of the strongest themes throughout the event. Only a few years ago, AI in mobility often meant pilots and interesting demos. Now operators increasingly use it for daily operations. Examples discussed included:
- Demand forecasting
- Rebalancing optimization
- Predictive maintenance
- Safety monitoring
- Fraud detection
- Dynamic insurance pricing
- Battery optimization
Frost & Sullivan identified AI-powered demand anticipation as one of the highest-impact trends for operators in 2026.
Yuri Narozniak from datafolio also shared examples where AI predicts high-risk insurance zones and dynamically adjusts risk models based on ride behavior. Datafolio additionally introduced integrated rider insurance options, with approximately 25% long-term rider adoption.
🌍 Regulation is increasingly determining market strategy
Regulation has become one of the biggest variables affecting operator success. Different cities continue taking very different approaches. Examples discussed included:
Positive developments:
- UK extending e-scooter trials until 2028
- Netherlands approving road-legal e-scooters
- Oslo doubling scooter capacity
Restrictions:
− Prague banning shared scooters
− Italy tightening compliance requirements
Cities want fewer operators, stronger compliance, and more accountability.
Winning a market increasingly depends on safety records, operational quality, data transparency, compliance history rather than simply deploying larger fleets.

📱 MaaS continues connecting fragmented mobility services
Raymon Pouwels shared the growth story behind umob and the continued expansion of Mobility-as-a-Service. The long-term vision remains simple: One interface, multiple transportation services.
Users increasingly expect transportation to behave similarly to digital services: Open one app -> See all options -> Choose what works best.
The market continues moving toward stronger integration between operators and MaaS platforms.
🏆 What separates operators who will win in 2026?
One slide from Frost & Sullivan summarized it particularly well:
"The operators still standing in 2026 didn't win on product - they won on discipline, selectivity, and city relationships."
Looking across both research and operator stories, common patterns repeatedly appeared:
✔ Lean and efficient operations
✔ Strategic market selection
✔ Diversified revenue streams
✔ Strong partnerships
✔ Data-driven decisions
✔ Safety and compliance focus
Thank you again to all speakers, partners, and participants who joined us at ATOM Connect 2026 and contributed to the discussions. We are excited to continue building the future of mobility together.
Want to continue the conversation? 🚀
Our team will be attending Micromobility Europe (June 2-3, Berlin) and we'll have a booth there. If you're attending too, come say hello, grab a coffee, and let's talk mobility ☕


