
Technology is helping transform the future of urban transportation by influencing what mobility will look like, and how it will impact the modern city-scape. A recent article by Forbes Technology Council explained that there is a shared consensus around the four key features of future mobility: shared, hybrid, autonomous and electric. The next question becomes, what will mobility services will be available in the coming years? We have done some research to help breakdown the different perspectives on shared mobility as a mode of transportation in the future.
Why electric?

By 2040, electric cars will outsell gasoline-powered cars
Recently consumers have shifted their interest towards electric vehicles as a more sustainable and environmentally conscious option for long-distance travel. Predictions expect electric vehicles to surpass traditional combustion cars within the next 20 years, with 57% of passenger vehicles and more than 30% of global passenger vehicle fleet sales being electric by 2040. With this growth also comes a need for additional charging infrastructure to allow the vehicles to travel further over long distances. Currently there are about 13,000 electric vehicle fast charging stations across the US, compared to roughly 332,000 gas stations. Companies such as Volkswagon, GM and Tesla, have announced they are working on creating charging that will help drive sales in the future. Successful expansion into the market will require cities to develop smart plans that accommodate the needs of electric mobility.
Why shared?
Shared mobility has grown extensively since Uber (2009) and Lyft (2012) first entered the market. More and more operators continue to emerge worldwide, offering at least one ridesharing service to people in over 700 cities. These services are expected to expand even further in the future as a result of increased urbanization, as well as growing concerns around sustainability, economic stability and emissions. A report by the Internet of Things’ analyst firm, Berg Insights, found the number of car-sharing service users will grow from 50.4 million people in 2018 to 227.1 million people in 2023. Offering mobility as a service is helping reduce the number of single-use vehicles on the road, lending itself to a more functional form of travel.
Why autonomous?
A major challenge facing urban drivers is the issue of congestion and traffic jams. In some metropolitan cities, such as London, the problem lead to the enforcement of congestion charges in their most heavily populated neighbourhoods. In effect since 2003, these charges have helped reduce traffic by 30%, will simultaneously generating funds for the city. But is that enough? Autonomous vehicles are believed to be the next step in reducing congestion. A study conducted by researchers at the University of Cambridge found that when a fleet of autonomous vehicles are effectively communicating, keeping traffic moving smoothly, congestion rates could be reduced by 35%.
Why hybrid?
Micro-mobility is the use of small mobility devices, designed to carry one or two people, or ‘last-mile’ deliveries. This goes hand-in-hand with the rising interest in e-scooters and e-bikes that have seen exceptional sales growth in recent years. The combination of electric with single-use, lightweight vehicles is expected to surpass traditional modes of transportation. In their annual technology, media and telecommunications predictions, Deloitte predicted more than 130 million e-bikes will be sold between 2020 and 2023. Compared to the 1.8 million sold in Europe and 185,000 in the US during 2013, this significant increase suggests that e-bikes and other technology like it are the future of mobility.
How are city’s supporting?
Cities across the world have begun adapting strategies to assist with the future of urban mobility. Being the leader in reducing traffic, Singapore introduced Area licencing Scheme in 1975, enforcing a daily toll charge of $3 or $60 monthly for cars entering a central zone area during peak hours. The city experienced success resulting in fewer cars entering the zone during peak hours, a 35 percent increase in carpools and a minimum of $500 million saved by the city that could be used towards infrastructure improvements. The system has since been updated to an Electrical Road Pricing system in order to match the changing demands of the city’s core.
San Francisco has yet to enforce congestion pricing for its traffic heavy neighbourhoods, however, research is being conducted to determine the best solutions for the city. The Emerging Mobility Evaluation Report by the San Francisco Transportation Authority found 90 percent of all motor vehicle collisions are caused by human error, with approximately 80 percent involving some level of inattention. This has lead to a shift towards alternative modes of mobility and potential pilot projects within the city core. San Francisco has become known for its low income bike share programs. Launching in 2013 the Bay Area Bike Share Pilot requires at least 20% of stations be located in low-income communities, with an estimated 320 stations and 4,500 in 2017. Data collected by the Bike-sharing Blog estimates there are twice as many bike-sharing programs in the world as there were in 2014, with nearly 20 times more bikes available for public use.
The doors have opened for industry leaders to start making innovations within auto-mobility, influencing the modern city-scape. In addition to placing restrictions on heavily congested areas, the city of Helsinki has focused its efforts on improving the existing infrastructure and transportation options to encourage people to utilize other modes of mobility. A leader in mobility-as-a-service (MaaS) platforms, the city plans to replace 2.3 billion urban private car journeys annually by 2023. One of the ways it’s begun to accomplish this is through the app Whim. An app developed specifically for Helsinki, Whim provides access to all of the city’s mobility options through a monthly subscription. The future of mobility is at people’s fingertips.
What’s next?
Cities around the world are beginning to explore the possibilities of e-scooters as a means to travel short distances too far to comfortably walk, as well as a potential solution towards reducing the reliance on cars. The city of Tallahassee launched a pilot program in partnership with five major e-scooter companies: Bird, Lime, VeoRide, Spin and Gotch. The purpose is to determine solutions for the major problems being faced, but to also help develop good ridership habits. The companies deployed 200 e-scooters, each capable of travelling 15 mph, under new legislation that allows them to be treated the same as bicycles. With the success of programs such as this, and companies making pledging to maintain social responsibility for user safety, e-scooters as a primary mode of mobility are on the rise.
Nuro, a self-driving start-up, is one of the few companies to currently have a fleet of fully driverless vehicles operating on public roads. In February 2019, the company secured roughly $1 billion in additional funding from SoftBank allowing them to partner with the grocery-store chain Kroeger’s for a pilot project. The pilot service has been delivering groceries in Houston, Texas since March 2019, with expansions to include other goods like Domino's Pizza and Walmart products. As of right now the fleet stands at about 75 vehicles, with plans to go public in 2020. By introducing fully automated vehicles into the market, the number of people on the road will be reduced, optimizing efficiency and offering greater protection from potential collisions or incidents.

Nuro self-driving vehicle
In addition to reducing traffic in major cities, mobility companies are also focusing their resources on addressing concerns of energy consumption and emissions. The smart scooter mobility company, Gogoro, aims to leverage the power of technology in order to change the way technology is consumed and transform how cities operate to improve sustainability. Their first fleet of smart scooters launched in 2015, delivering a high performance electric riding experience to uses in Taiwan. The company also established a network known as the Gogoro Energy Network in Taipei offers more than 1,581 battery swap stations and supports over 199,478 battery exchanges every day. In Europe, a fleet of 3,500 emissionless smart scooters were released across three major countries in 2018, helping reduce CO2 emissions by 123,655 tons and displacing more than 58,731,863 liters of gasoline. By leveraging technological progress and innovations in modern infrastructure, Gogoro is becoming a leader in transportation solutions.

Electric scooter Gogoro with swappable batteries
Companies, like Tortoise, are looking to expand the capabilities of scooters even further by introducing fleets that can move autonomously across a city and reposition themselves, without a rider. The goal is to tackle the biggest challenge currently facing operators: relocating scooters. Tortoise plans to use autonomous technology combined with teleoperation to reposition and rebalance dockless, shared e-scooters in cities. The initial deployment will include between 50 to 100 scooters per operator in each market with the intention to equip every fleet with the ability to autonomously reposition themselves. Autonomous micro-mobility like e-scooters and e-bikes are believed to be the start for creating smarter, more technologically advanced cities.
How can we help?
As both industry leaders and cities around the world are finding new ways to support the rising trend of micro-mobility, we at ATOM Mobility want to help entrepreneurs looking to enter the market. We believe that shared mobility is the future of transportation, offering assistance with integrating industry-leading vehicles ready for shared mobility, including kick scooters, scooters, bikes, mopeds, cars and more. Our customers have an excellent grasp on the current needs of local markets, and we allow them to focus on marketing and operations, while taking care of the technology.
Sources:
https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-33183031
https://www.corporateknights.com/channels/transportation/sharing-road-canadian-cities-driving-progress-shared-mobility-15593076/
https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestechcouncil/2019/11/22/four-keys-to-future-mobility-shared-hybrid-integrated-and-electric/#3feea979339d
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https://about.bnef.com/electric-vehicle-outlook/
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🚲 While dockless scooters and e-bikes often seems to be the popular choice, many of Europe's most popular shared mobility programs are station-based bike-sharing networks. Systems like Vélib' in Paris, Bicing in Barcelona, and BikeMi in Milan continue to grow by combining predictable parking, strong integration with public transport, and increasingly popular e-bike fleets. What these programs have in common, how they operate at scale, and why many cities continue investing in station-based bike sharing?
During 2019-2025, most of the attention in shared mobility went to dockless scooters. They were quick to deploy, highly visible, and seemed like the future of urban transport. But while many scooter operators expanded, consolidated, or exited markets, station-based bike-sharing systems quietly continued growing.
According to the 2025 European Shared Mobility Index, public bike-sharing schemes generated around 238 million trips in Europe, while private bike-sharing operators recorded another 124 million trips. Together, bike-sharing services accounted for more than 360 million annual rides out of more than 700 million rides (the other half was generated by free-floating scooters). While the industry spent years experimenting with different models, station-based bike sharing remained remarkably resilient. In many cities, it has become part of everyday transport infrastructure rather than simply another mobility service.

The bike-sharing market is becoming more structured
One of the clearest themes from the latest index is that the market is becoming more disciplined. Operators are no longer chasing every possible market. Instead, they are focusing on locations where shared mobility can operate sustainably over the long term. Cities are becoming more selective too, favouring systems that fit into wider transport networks rather than uncontrolled fleet expansion.
This shift has created favourable conditions for station-based bike-sharing systems. Unlike dockless fleets, station-based programs offer more predictable parking, easier fleet management, and stronger integration with public transport. These advantages become increasingly important as cities focus more on accessibility, compliance, and long-term mobility planning.
What do Europe's largest station-based systems have in common?
The strongest argument for station-based bike sharing is the performance of some of the world's largest programs.
Vélib' (Paris)
Paris' Vélib' remains one of the most successful bike-sharing systems in Europe. The network combines thousands of regular bicycles and e-bikes across an extensive station network that covers much of the city. Vélib' generated approximately 48.5 million trips in 2025, making it the highest-ridership public bike-sharing system in Europe.

What makes Vélib' particularly interesting is that, for many Parisians, it has become part of their daily commute alongside buses, metros, and trains. That level of adoption only happens when riders know they can reliably find and return bikes where they need them.
Bicing (Barcelona)
Barcelona's Bicing demonstrates how station-based systems can scale with city support and careful planning. The system combines regular bicycles and e-bikes and has become deeply integrated into the city's transport ecosystem. Bicing recently surpassed 100 million total rides, making it one of the most successful public bike-sharing programs globally. Barcelona is becoming a fascinating mobility case study: shared scooters were banned, private dockless bike-sharing is being phased out, while the city continues expanding the public Bicing network. A clear signal that some cities are prioritizing station-based and publicly managed micromobility over free-floating models.

The success of Bicing also reflects a broader trend in Spain, where public bike-sharing systems continue receiving strong institutional support.
BikeMi (Milan)
BikeMi in Milan offers a slightly different model. Rather than focusing on rapid expansion, the system grew steadily through dense station placement, strong commuter adoption, and integration with public transport. Now BikeMi combines traditional bicycles and e-bikes, providing a reliable transport option for both residents and visitors. Its success highlights an important lesson for operators: long-term utilisation often matters more than rapid fleet growth.

Although Vélib', Bicing, and BikeMi differ in scale and geography, they share several common characteristics. All three prioritise station density, integration with city transport networks, and predictable rider experiences.
Electric bikes are changing the economics
One of the biggest developments in station-based bike sharing over the past few years has been the rapid growth of electric fleets. Public bike-sharing fleets are now approximately 48% electrified. More importantly for operators, electric bikes consistently generate more trips than traditional bicycles. Public systems average around 2.7 trips per vehicle per day, while some electric bike fleets achieve up to 4.6 trips per vehicle per day.
Higher utilisation means more revenue per vehicle, a faster return on investment, lower idle fleet costs, and stronger demand throughout the day. Electric bikes also make bike sharing accessible to a broader audience. Longer distances become practical, hills become less of a barrier, and riders who would not normally choose a bicycle are often willing to use an e-bike instead. This is one reason many newer station-based systems are launching with mixed fleets or even fully electric fleets from day one.
Why cities are backing station-based systems again
Across Europe, municipalities are placing greater emphasis on organised mobility systems that can be integrated into existing transport networks. The European Shared Mobility Index highlights several examples, including public support programs for bike-sharing subscriptions in Spain, continued investment in Barcelona's Bicing network, and London's decision to renew its Santander Cycles contract through a long-term investment programme.
For cities, the appeal is relatively clear. Station-based systems provide predictable parking, reduce street clutter, simplify accessibility planning, and make it easier to integrate bike sharing with buses, trains, and metro systems. As regulations become stricter and public space becomes more valuable, these advantages are becoming increasingly important.
Managing a growing station network
As fleets grow, operators need visibility into station occupancy, vehicle availability, charging status, maintenance workflows, payments, rider activity, and customer support. Managing these processes manually quickly becomes difficult, especially when systems expand across multiple districts or cities.
Many operators use platforms such as ATOM Mobility's bike-sharing software to manage stations, vehicles, rider applications, payments, maintenance, and operational workflows through a single system rather than relying on multiple disconnected tools. The largest station-based programs did not become successful simply because they deployed more bikes. They built operational processes capable of supporting growth over many years.
The growth of systems like Vélib', Bicing, and BikeMi suggests that station-based bike sharing has found its place in modern cities long-term. The focus now is less on expansion alone and more on operating reliable, efficient networks that riders can depend on every da
Check out the full 2025 European Shared Mobility Index here: https://fluctuo.com/reports
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🛴 🚲 At ATOM Connect 2026 in Riga, operators, technology providers, and industry experts came together to discuss where the market is heading and what will define successful operators in the coming years. The discussions covered everything from fleet economics and regulation to AI, insurance, MaaS, and operator growth stories.
Shared mobility continues to evolve quickly. At ATOM Connect 2026 in Riga, operators, technology providers, and industry experts came together to discuss where the market is heading and what will define successful operators in the coming years. The discussions covered everything from fleet economics and regulation to AI, insurance, MaaS, and operator growth stories.
One thing became increasingly clear throughout the event: The industry is entering a different phase. Growth is still happening, but the rules for winning are changing.
🚲 E-bikes are becoming the core shared mobility asset
For years, shared e-scooters dominated headlines and rapid expansion stories. Now the conversation is gradually shifting.
Research presented by Frost & Sullivan suggests that e-bikes are increasingly becoming the preferred shared micromobility mode in many markets because of stronger unit economics, lighter regulatory friction, and changing rider behavior.
Some numbers presented:
- Average lifetime gross profit per shared scooter: ~$2,073
- Average lifetime gross profit per shared e-bike: ~$4,336
- Average scooter lifespan: ~3 years
- Average e-bike lifespan: ~4 years
Despite higher vehicle costs, e-bikes generate stronger long-term economics. We also saw examples from operators:
- Forest increased its e-bike fleet by 34%, while more cities increasingly support bike-focused mobility systems.
The interesting part is that e-bikes are gradually shifting from “fun transportation” toward everyday commuting infrastructure.
📈 Growth continues while fleet size remains relatively stable
One surprising trend discussed during the event was that the European shared micromobility market continues growing despite relatively stable fleet sizes.
Normally, growth comes from deploying more vehicles. Now something different appears to be happening:
- Better utilization
- Increased rider adoption
- Improved retention
- Subscription models
This is an important shift because it suggests the market is becoming more efficient. Instead of flooding cities with additional vehicles, operators are increasingly focused on generating more value from existing fleets.
💰 Subscriptions are becoming increasingly important
Historically, shared mobility relied heavily on per-ride revenue. That model is also changing.
Frost & Sullivan highlighted subscriptions as one of the strongest trends for 2026, with subscription-heavy models showing positive profitability dynamics. This aligns with what many operators shared during discussions. Subscriptions bring several advantages:
- Higher retention
- Predictable recurring revenue
- Lower customer acquisition pressure
- Better ride frequency
The industry may gradually move toward a model that looks more like SaaS and memberships rather than only pay-per-use transportation.
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🤖 AI is moving from experiments to core operations
AI was one of the strongest themes throughout the event. Only a few years ago, AI in mobility often meant pilots and interesting demos. Now operators increasingly use it for daily operations. Examples discussed included:
- Demand forecasting
- Rebalancing optimization
- Predictive maintenance
- Safety monitoring
- Fraud detection
- Dynamic insurance pricing
- Battery optimization
Frost & Sullivan identified AI-powered demand anticipation as one of the highest-impact trends for operators in 2026.
Yuri Narozniak from datafolio also shared examples where AI predicts high-risk insurance zones and dynamically adjusts risk models based on ride behavior. Datafolio additionally introduced integrated rider insurance options, with approximately 25% long-term rider adoption.
🌍 Regulation is increasingly determining market strategy
Regulation has become one of the biggest variables affecting operator success. Different cities continue taking very different approaches. Examples discussed included:
Positive developments:
- UK extending e-scooter trials until 2028
- Netherlands approving road-legal e-scooters
- Oslo doubling scooter capacity
Restrictions:
− Prague banning shared scooters
− Italy tightening compliance requirements
Cities want fewer operators, stronger compliance, and more accountability.
Winning a market increasingly depends on safety records, operational quality, data transparency, compliance history rather than simply deploying larger fleets.

📱 MaaS continues connecting fragmented mobility services
Raymon Pouwels shared the growth story behind umob and the continued expansion of Mobility-as-a-Service. The long-term vision remains simple: One interface, multiple transportation services.
Users increasingly expect transportation to behave similarly to digital services: Open one app -> See all options -> Choose what works best.
The market continues moving toward stronger integration between operators and MaaS platforms.
🏆 What separates operators who will win in 2026?
One slide from Frost & Sullivan summarized it particularly well:
"The operators still standing in 2026 didn't win on product - they won on discipline, selectivity, and city relationships."
Looking across both research and operator stories, common patterns repeatedly appeared:
✔ Lean and efficient operations
✔ Strategic market selection
✔ Diversified revenue streams
✔ Strong partnerships
✔ Data-driven decisions
✔ Safety and compliance focus
Thank you again to all speakers, partners, and participants who joined us at ATOM Connect 2026 and contributed to the discussions. We are excited to continue building the future of mobility together.
Want to continue the conversation? 🚀
Our team will be attending Micromobility Europe (June 2-3, Berlin) and we'll have a booth there. If you're attending too, come say hello, grab a coffee, and let's talk mobility ☕


